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      « NOW IT'S TIME FOR VIETNAM STRATEGIES | Main | BOWERY BOYS »

      April 30, 2003

      CATCH THE FEVER

      Nobody wants to repeat the mistakes that let AIDS ravage a good
      segment of the population because alarmist talk served as a healthcare
      inducement against free and easy sex and also involved the forced
      discussion of gay guys doing it. So the SARS scare is roaring ahead
      and proving more contagious than the syndrome itself. I think we could
      all use a healthy dose of skepticism.

      Tagged:

      Why am I skeptical? One reason is the use of the term
      "syndrome" in the Sudden Acute Respiratory Syndrome assignation. I
      know that they've pinpointed the germinal root of transmission to SARS
      as some sort of specific virus, but syndrome usually connotes a very
      relaxed version of disease classification. Here's how syndromes (and
      health scares) usually progress. People get sick, sometimes they die.
      Doctors aren't sure as to the exact cause of death. A mental instinct
      for lumping unexplained events into a pattern-forming trend occurs.
      Someone suggests that we're suffering a syndrome. Previously
      unexplained deaths are attributed to said syndrome. The media picks up
      the story. People start freaking out. Things that previously would
      have been regarded as benign colds are now regarded as "the syndrome".
      Psychosomatic illness ensues.


      I have no doubt that there is a virus that affects the
      respiratory system that kills some people. The flu kills people,
      especially those with compromised immune systems. I think the current
      death rate for SARS is about 4% for those infected. href="http://www.wired.com/news/medtech/0,1286,58552,00.html">According
      to the World Health Organization (WHO), SARS has infected almost
      3,500 people and killed and killed 170. How many people currently
      inhabit the earth, 4 billion? I bet more than 170 people choke to
      death on cherry pits every month than 170. And this is a health scare
      that was reported by The New York Post the other day to have
      costed Asian economies nearly $30 billion.


      The Asian aspect is important as far as health scares go. A good
      panic is always helped when 1) it seems to be borne from foreigners and
      2) the foreign nature of the disease makes its apparent lack of affect
      more understandable. At this time, not a single case of SARS has been
      reported in the U.S. Still, people are freaking out about it. That's
      because it's all happening over there. You know, amongst the
      teeming hordes. The truth is, not that many people have caught SARS,
      fewer people have died from it, and that's in spite of a communist
      healthcare system that's probably not that great to begin with. Given
      that we're in an environment where any sudden death linked at all to a
      respiratory infection will now be classified as a SARS fatality, am I
      wrong in being completely underwhelmed at the lack of bodies piling up?
      This might be the worst call of all time, but I'm going to go out on a
      limb and say that if SARS isn't complete bullshit, it is a phenomenon
      that's being blown completely out of proportion. A new plague may sell
      a few papers today, but next year SARS, if discussed at all, will be
      discounted as a media-driven hoax that affected fewer people than rabid
      dogs worldwide.

      Posted by Lexiphane at April 30, 2003 10:28 AM

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